Tag: NFL

Deserve’s Got Nothin’ To Do With It

Fun week for NFL-based popularity contests. In the span of just a couple of days, we have one person getting an award they probably didn’t deserve, another NOT getting an award he almost certainly did… and people losing their shit about both.

For those not up on their American football (please don’t call it “sportsball” or “hand-egg”, I’m begging you), the two cases are:

  • Cleveland Browns’ rookie quarterback Shedeur Sanders, who played in less than half his team’s games, and was… how shall we put this?… “a work in progress” even when did play, was selected as a reserve for the NFL’s Pro Bowl (festivities). Think “All-Star Game”, except it’s not a game of 11-on-11 football, but a skills competition and some 7-on-7 flag football.
  • Long-time New England Patriots’ head coach Bill Belichick, who guided the Patriots to 6 Super Bowls, was NOT selected to the Pro Football Hall of Fame in his first appearance on the ballot.

For those who don’t follow the NFL, the Pro Bowl has kind of been a running joke for a while now. Even when it was still a “real” game of football, nobody took it all that seriously because a) it’s held at the end of the season and everyone’s ready to take the pads off and relax and b) nobody wants to blow-out an ACL and fuck up their career trajectory because they were going all-out in an exhibition game. Also, it used to at least be a free trip to Hawaii, and now it’s just played wherever the Super Bowl is, so — surprise, surprise — dudes weren’t lining up for a trip to San Francisco on a Tuesday in February.

(I mean, if you want a barometer of how seriously the game is taken, during one Pro Bowl, NFC center Jeff Saturday lined up for THE OTHER TEAM so he could snap the ball to his long-time teammate Peyton Manning, who was playing for the AFC.)

The point is, SEVERAL of the game’s stars pass on the Pro Bowl every year, and the league has to scramble to fill the slots. It’s the definition of business as usual. This time around, they took Shedeur Sanders, who… all fluffery aside… ranked 40th in QBR (ESPN’s attempt to create a one-number stat for QB performance). 32 teams… came in 40th… math doesn’t care about your feelings.

BUT… what Shedeur Sanders does have is “brand recognition”. First, he’s the son of NFL Hall of Famer/sometimes-TV-analyst/college coach/cowboy hat aficcionado Deion Sanders, one of the best to play the game. He’s also got history in that he had a weird NFL draft cycle in 2025– this time last year people were talking about him as not just the first QB taken, but a possible candidate to be taken #1 overall… and he ended up falling to the 5th round. So multiple teams that NEEDED quarterbacks (including my hometown Steelers) passed on him… more than once. So he’s a guy whose career people have been following with interest, regardless of his stats line looks like.

So… they gave the kid a spot because he might draw some eyeballs that luminaries such as Geno Smith or Marcus Mariota might not draw. And on THAT level, so what? The Pro Bowl Mid-Week Spectacle For Degenerate Gamblers To Wager On, Presented By FanDuel is an entertainment product, so… give the people something that might entertain them. Not that big a deal.

The only place I maybe push back a LITTLE is that there’s a body of Hot Takes from Browns’ fans and people who thought Shedeur got a raw deal back at the draft that are positioning this as a Vindication(tm). Indeed, that Shedeur has Proven The Haters Wrong(tm). Now, I don’t really have any animosity toward the kid outside the confines of the Steelers-Browns rivalry, and Shedeur himself has handled his selection with nothing but graciousness. But I mean… come on. Is that what we’re doing now?

Definitionally, vindication isn’t going to be found throwing flag football touchdowns in a game that’s going to be forgotten the second the whistle blows. Vindication is going to be found by coming back in 2026, starting 17 games, and completing 60 or 65 percent of his passes. If he does that, then yeah… THAT’S vindication. If he doesn’t do that, “Shedeur Sanders, Former Pro Bowler” may end up just being an interesting Jeopardy! question or a chyron on a Toronto Argonauts broadcast.

So now… Bill Belichick.

Much as it pains me to say it, if Bill Belichick isn’t a Hall of Fame coach, nobody is. And pass-fail, there’s a pretty clear case to be made that he should’ve been a first-ballot selection. Six Super Bowl rings, 302 career wins (3rd all time behind Don Shula and George Halas)… there’s really not much more you can do as a coach.

But still… some of the outrage feels a little over the top. He’s almost certainly getting in eventually. (In fact, I’ve got 20 bucks that says the NFL not-too-subtly attempts to whip the votes for him next year just to make sure this doesn’t remain an ongoing story.) He just didn’t make it this time.

First, there ARE blemishes on Belichick’s career. There’s Spygate, where he was sending Patriots’ personnel to record opponents’ practices so they could decipher their sideline signals, which is… not to put too fine a point on it… illegal. The Patriots were fined and had to give up draft picks at the time. There’s DeflateGate, where the Patriots would deflate the balls Tom Brady used so he could grip them better. Also illegal (the league DOES let teams set up the balls for their QB, but it’s required to be within a certain range of pressure); also resulted in fines and Brady actually got suspended. Belichick was also generally kind of a grumpy dude when dealing with the press. He’d do shit like list his ENTIRE team as Questionable on the injured report just to keep information from getting out, and… a LOT of really terse, combative answers over the years. Should that keep him out? Probably not… but on a HUMAN level, you can sorta understand Hall of Fame voters — most of whom are sportswriters whose jobs he made harder — meeting the same energy he put out into the world.

There’s even just the possibility that this was a “flaw” inherent to the voting system. Without getting into the deep weeds, there were five candidates on the supplementary ballot they use for coaches, owners, and players who fell off the “modern” ballot, and voters are only allowed to vote for three people. So it’s entirely possible you had a few voters who decided “well, Belichick’s getting in anyway, so maybe I’ll use three of my votes on guys who need the help more”. (The “other guys” were Patriot owner Robert Kraft, and players Ken Anderson, Roger Craig, and L.C. Greenwood.) If enough voters did that, you could easily end up with the “obvious” candidate missing the cut. Not to mention the possibilty of a vote split between Kraft and Belichick — maybe voters just didn’t want to vote for both and make it a Patriot lovefest.

Lastly, I have a personal pet theory: Tom Brady is eligible in 2028. What if Belichick didn’t get in this year because a few voters romanticized the notion of putting them in together? People always wrestle with who was more responsible for the Brady-Belichick Patriots'(tm) success… maybe some voters are ducking the question for two years so they don’t have to decide, so they can put them in as a tandem.

So pass-fail… should Belichick have gotten the votes? Yeah, probably. Does it represent some sort of crime against humanity and the ghost of Walter Camp? I guess YOU can take it that way if you want, but I’m not going to lose a lot of sleep over it.

But more forest for the trees… this is what happens when you try to hammer Jell-O to a wall by attempting to put “greatness” in a one-size-fits-all box. It’s true across sports, but everyone’s got their own definition: some people hew pretty close to what the statistical record says (the J. Evans Pritchard method), some people take — for lack of a less sappy word — a more “holistic” view of stardom, and there’s probably even a few people who just vote for what made them feel good as a fan. And that’s OK. First-ballot? Unanimous selection? Whatever, man… over the long haul, the various systems get it right more than they get it wrong, and it gives us something to shout about over beers when there’s nothing else on TV.

Requiem For The Standard

I look at Mike Tomlin’s departure from the Pittsburgh Steelers after 19 years the same way I look at divorce. Not every story has a villain; not every divorce ends in cheating, abuse, or other dramatic acrimony. Sometimes people just grow apart; so too with football coaches, teams, and their fan bases.

I think in today’s “hot take” culture, it’s easy to fish for the extreme take: “Tomlin sucks; good riddance” vs. the scolding “be careful what you wish for, Steeler fans, you just got it”. But I think with the truth is somewhere in the middle — Tomlin was a decent coach, but I think it’s a fair criticism that complacency just set in, and at SOME point, something was going to have to change. Whether this off-season is the right or the wrong time to pull the pin on that grenade… I guess we’re going to find out.

The good is right up there in the record books: zero losing seasons in a 19-year career. Some people kinda brush that off, but yes, that is an achievement. 31 out of 32 teams end every season disappointed, but the Steelers never felt IRRELEVANT on his watch — some organizations can’t even say that. If Tomlin ought to be dinged for the years he underachieved with a 12 or 13-win team, he probably ought to earn some praise for the years the Steelers looked like a 5 or 6 win team on paper and he somehow navigated them to respectability. And dudes LOVED to play for him. I don’t think that makes a difference for STAR players, who just want to get paid as much as possible, but it when it came to signing veteran depth guys, it’s a competitive advantage I think we may come to miss. I’m not sure Pittsburgh is as much of a “destination” without Tomlin at the helm. (Especially not if you read those NFL player surveys that rank the Steelers toward the bottom of the league in terms of facilities and organizational culture.)

But the warts are also equally evident. The most obvious is the recent playoff record — it’s not just that we went 0-7 in recent playoff memory, but few of those games even felt competitive. Weird choices in game management — playcalling, clock management, and such — brushed off with some Tomlinism that didn’t really explain the thought process that went into it. The Steelers managed to play down to the level of at least one inferior opponent per season; so much so that the fanbase collectively seemed to fear the trap game against some 3-9 team more than playing the Ravens. Every opposing tight end in the league probably circled us on the calendar because we seemed to be incapable of covering one properly. (Though… I suppose that complaint even goes back to Cowher. ALFRED F’ING PUPUNU.)

And for a guy who brought the world “we do not live in our fears”, the Steelers sure feel like a team that’s been playing fearfully in recent years: playing NOT to lose, rather than to win. The pathological aversion to throwing to the middle of the field (BUBBLE SCREENS… BUBBLE SCREENS FOR EVERYONE!). Going too conservative, too early when we had a lead, letting teams claw their way back in it. The “keep the play in front of you, give up small chunks, and hope you can get a splash play or the offense makes a mistake before they string 12 plays together” defense. With the Cowher Steelers and even the EARLY Tomlin years, we didn’t play that way. We played to win; sometimes we even stepped on a team’s neck and ran it up on them. If this move is an acknowledgement that we need to get back to that mentality… I’m here for it.

Of course the elephant in the room is the ONE thing that can’t be solved by letting your coach walk: this is a quarterback-driven league, and we haven’t had a quarterback for a good chunk of that 0-7 run. The thing we don’t really know (because there’s not any Hard Knocks footage to dissect) is how to apportion the blame: how much is Tomlin’s fault for his choices of coordinators and coaching, and how much of that is the front office burying their head in the sand during Ben’s decline phase and not creating a more graceful transition?

(Hey, remember when Lamar Jackson was just sitting there and we took Terrell Edmunds instead? Pepperidge Farms remembers.)

So what comes next?

For the Steelers, if they stick with the recipe, it’s going to be a young defensive coordinator who’s never been a head coach before. I would argue that the game has changed and we need an offensive mind, but given that they’re 3-for-3 on coaching hires during my lifetime, I’m willing to trust the process. Though, I kinda like Brian Flores, so if they’re willing to be a little flexible on the “never coached before” check-box, I don’t think that’s a bad outcome.

I have heard a few people say “well, who would any coach want the Steelers’ job?” You mean the one job that if you get it right, you might get two decades of job security because it’s a old-school family-run organization that thinks coaching churn is embarrassing in some way? WHO INDEED? But I’d also say that the Steelers have some pieces in place to be a decent team… it’s just that they’re missing the ONE piece that’s most important. Yeah, the Ravens probably have an edge because Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry are pretty plug-and-play, and the Giants might be intriguing if you’re a coach who believes in Jaxson Dart… but I don’t think the Steelers represent some black hole like the Browns or Titans still largely are.

As for Tomlin? Does he want to do TV? Were they actually going to fire him, and “walking away” was a negotiated exit? Does he secretly want to coach again, but just wanted out of Pittsburgh? Is he going to lean into his resemblance to Omar Epps and do a reality show where they Freaky Friday each other’s lives, with Epps coaching a football team and Tomlin going to acting auditions?

It’s not that I don’t care; it’s more that Bill Cowher’s departure cured me of my interest in speculating too aggressively about guys’ reasons for stepping away. If you remember Cowher leaving, everyone was freaking out because How Could He Walk Away At The Height Of A Dynasty?(tm) And then we learned several years later it was probably to spend time with his wife, who it turned out was battling cancer, but he just kept that part of his life private. So if Tomlin says he wants to step away… HOWEVER that might have come about behind the scenes or what his future plans are… I guess that’s what the man’s doing. As a wise man once said, “we want volunteers, not hostages”, and that includes the head coach.

So… thanks for 19 great years, Coach T. It’s been a fun ride, I hope you have a good… break, retirement, whatever this ends up being… and we’ll see you if and when you wish to be seen.

Noooooo Canada

After weeks of waiting, it’s finally here… Matt Canada Firing Day!

For those who don’t follow football, Matt Canada was, until today, the offensive coordinator for the Pittsburgh Steelers. His passing offense — if you can even call it that — has been one of the least imaginative, most conservative in the league. There are almost zero deep passes, and even most of the short passes are to the sidelines; it’s almost like he’s allergic to the middle of the field. If that’s not easy enough to gameplan against, he also runs a bunch of slow-developing plays — bubble screens, jet sweeps — that get broken up behind the line of scrimmage for a loss. To be fair, the bread-and-butter running game has been fairly competent, but in today’s NFL, if ALL you do is run the football, you don’t go very far. We’re light-years removed from the “three yards and a cloud of dust” game of years past.

If you want to put some stats to it: the Steelers were 28th in both points and total yards during Canada’s tenure, and NEVER had a 400-yard offensive performance. In 2023 in particular, they’ve been outgained offensively in EVERY game they played. (Yet, they’re somehow still 6-4… which is a bit of a minor miracle, honestly.)

In short, Canada has widely been viewed amongst Steeler Nation as sucking at his job, pretty much since the day he was hired. But he had thus far managed to escape much in the way of accountability. In 2021, it was “Ben Roethlisberger no longer has the arm to throw deep, so they have to manage the playbook to what he’s capable of”. In 2022, it was “Kenny Pickett is a rookie, they’re easing him into things”. But now, in 2023, there’s no more built-in excuses and the offense looks as bad as ever… maybe even worse. And so today, the axe finally fell.

Now, I’m not going to pretend Matt Canada was the ONLY problem with this team. Kenny Pickett, the aforementioned quarterback, has been maddeningly inconsistent since being handed the starting job. Enough so that there are doubts creeping in over whether he can really be the franchise QB they hoped they were drafting. Maybe it’s not a fair comparison, but C.J. Stroud managed to hit the ground running this year, and it’s not clear the Texans’ personnel at the other 10 offensive positions are any better than the Steelers’. Sometimes QB’s have the “it” factor; sometimes they don’t.

Speaking of those other positions, they’re not immune from criticism either. The offensive line has had its ups and downs as well: they had a lot of turnover of personnel over the last few years and the charitable explanation is they’re still meshing; the less-charitable explanation is they signed the wrong guys. They’ve also struggled to find good wide receivers ever since Antonio Brown’s departure. Diontae Johnson puts up superficially good numbers and is certainly a success for a 3rd-rounder, but seems to disappear in big moments; George Pickens is a physical freak, but has a tendency to sulk and check out if his number’s not getting called. Calvin Austin has intriguing speed and elusiveness in the slot, but he also lost his entire rookie year to injury, so he’s still in learning mode. Allen Robinson… exists. So some of this is a personnel issue as much as a coaching one.

(The sole bright spot has been the emergence of running back Jaylen Warren. He’s a 5’8″ undrafted free agent, his physical tools don’t really leap out, but when he gets running north-south, he’s like a cannonball out there. And his stiff-arms are becoming the stuff of legend.)

But it starts with an offense gameplan that has been both predictable and unimaginative. Every. Single. Week. You can’t run an NFL offense when the opposing team knows your entire offense runs within 5 yards of the line of scrimmage. When a fairly team-first guy like Najee Harris admits to a locker room full of reporters that opposing teams pretty much know what’s coming… a new coordinator is probably the first and easiest thing you can do to try and fix it.

Among other things, they had to do it for the sake of the defense. The Steelers’ defense is actually pretty good this year, and T.J. Watt is a generational talent that they just signed to a huge contract. Since a 30-7 loss to the Texans back in Week 4, they haven’t allowed more than 19 points to an opponent. That should be enough to win football games in today’s NFL… if you can couple them to an offense that doesn’t three-and-out almost every possession. The Steel Curtain Steelers of the 70s would’ve struggled if their offense could never get them off the field for a breather.

As tenuous as their position in the standings is, they also had to do it for the standings. They’re still at 6-4, and there’s a few traditionally good teams having down years — Buffalo just fired THEIR offensive coordinator; Cincinnati just lost quarterback Joe Burrow for the year. The playoffs aren’t unrealistic if they can get the offense to play slightly better. Super Bowl? OK, probably not. But you gotta try, right? “Any given Sunday?”

Lastly, I’d argue they had to do it to force an honest reckoning regarding Pickett. Right now there’s this debate over how much of the offensive struggles were Canada’s offense, and how much were just that Pickett isn’t that good. In fact, I think a lot of the fanbase WANTS it to be Canada’s fault so they don’t have to reckon with the possibility we have to go back to the drawing board at quarterback. Admittedly, that’s probably a deeper dive than I wanted to do here, but it’s a question that needs to be resolved. And next year is going to be a deep draft for quarterbacks, so there’s a bit of a feeling that if Pickett ISN’T the guy, 2024 would be a good time to draft some competition at the position. If pushing Canada out the airlock is what creates the conditions for really scrutinizing Pickett’s strengths and weaknesses, that’s probably a net positive as well.

The only problem with all of this is that it’s pretty hard to make sweeping changes mid-season, especially when you’re mostly doing it with the same personnel that are already in place. Maybe they can go get a splashy outside hire in the offseason, but for now the Steelers already announced that running backs coach Eddie Faulkner will be the interim OC with QB coach Mike Sullivan as the play-caller. So maybe those two are sitting on a treasure-trove of plays they’re just dying to call (in my head-canon, I’ve already decided it’s a vintage Trapper Keeper labeled PLAYS MATT CANADA WOULDN’T LET ME RUN), but chances are it will look more like incremental tweaks to what already exists.

But all of that is for down the road. Today, the fans got what they wanted. Even if there’s a little undercurrent of “be careful what you wish for, you just might get it”.